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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.Fitch: It is estimated that the sales growth rate of food, beverage, tobacco and consumer goods will be low in single digits in 2025.Li Tie's case was pronounced in the first instance today. The Procuratorate of Xianning City, Hubei Province accused Li Tie of five crimes, including bribery, bribery by the unit, bribery by non-state staff and bribery of non-state staff. It is understood that today, the court will make a first-instance judgment on this case. At present, the police car escorting Li Tie has entered the Xianning Intermediate People's Court. (CCTV News)

Shenzhen Yuejiang Technology Hong Kong IPO seeks to publicly issue 40 million shares, with an offering price range of HK$ 18.80-20.80 per share. It is expected that the stock will be priced on December 19th and trading will begin on December 23rd.International precious metal futures closed down sharply, COMEX gold futures fell by 1.87%, COMEX gold futures fell by 1.87% to $2,705.2 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell by 4.25% to $31.565 per ounce.Top 20 US stock turnover on December 12: Adobe's poor performance led to a sharp drop of 13.7%. On Thursday, Adobe, the fourth US stock turnover, closed down 13.69%, the biggest one-day drop in two years, with a turnover of 8.32 billion US dollars. The company's performance guidance fell short of market expectations, which aggravated investors' concerns that the creative software giant might be subverted by emerging artificial intelligence (AI) startups. The company expects revenue of $23.4 billion in fiscal year 2025, which is less than the $23.8 billion expected by analysts; Earnings per share are expected to be $20.20-$20.50, which is less than the analyst's expectation of $20.52. After Adobe announced its financial report and performance forecast, Bank of America Securities lowered its target price from $640 to $605, and Jefferies lowered its target price from $700 to $650. (Global Market Broadcast)

The first product jointly developed by Google and Samsung for head-mounted display devices is expected to be launched next year. On Thursday, EST, the technology giant Google released a new version of the Android XR operating system, aiming at providing a variety of natural interaction methods for head-mounted display devices and smart glasses, and enhancing users' experience in the fields of virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR).Reminder: Please pay attention to it during the day (the following are all Beijing time). ① At 07: 50, the outlook index of large-scale manufacturing industry in Japan in the fourth quarter is short-sighted; ② At 10: 35, Hunter, Assistant Chairman of Reserve Bank of Australia, made a speech; ③ 15:00 UK merchandise trade account for October; ④ At 16: 00, Villeroy, Governor of the European Central Bank and Governor of the Bank of France, made a speech; ⑤ 17:00 Speech by Robert Holzmann, ECB Management Committee; 6. At 18: 00, the Bundesbank announced the semi-annual forecast report, and the industrial output of the euro zone in October; ⑦ 19:00 Speech by Mario Centeno, ECB Governing Committee and Governor of Portuguese Central Bank; 8: 21: 30 US import price index in November.Broadcom's share price rose more than 10% after the US market closed.